How can Economically Significant Provinces Play a Pivotal Role in the Comprehensive Green Transformation During the 15th Five-Year Plan Period？

How can Economically Significant Provinces Play a Pivotal Role in the Comprehensive Green Transformation During the 15th Five-Year Plan Period？

CHEN Xing-xing, LI Tian-yi

Journal of Beijing Jiaotong University（Social Sciences Edition） ›› 2026, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (2) : 27-36.

PDF(979 KB)

Welcome to visit Journal of Beijing Jiaotong University（Social Sciences Edition）!

PDF(979 KB)

Journal of Beijing Jiaotong University（Social Sciences Edition） ›› 2026, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (2) : 27-36.

Applied Economics Studies

How can Economically Significant Provinces Play a Pivotal Role in the Comprehensive Green Transformation During the 15th Five-Year Plan Period？

CHEN Xing-xing^1,2, LI Tian-yi²

Author information +

History +

Abstract

The 15th Five-Year Plan period constitutes a critical window for major economic provinces to shoulder the core mission of leading the green transition， and marks an important stage of tough challenges in shifting from dual control of energy consumption to dual control of carbon emissions and advancing comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development. As the main engine of the national economy， the source of technological innovation and the core carrier of green industrial chains， major economic provinces’ carbon peaking progress directly determines the timeline for the national carbon peaking goal. Guided by the top-level design of the dual carbon control system， this paper takes advantage of the driving effect of chain leading enterprises and digital governance supported by industrial internet platforms to give full play to the cross-regional strengths of major economic provinces in standards， technologies， finance and other key factors， so as to extend the experience of comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development nationwide. In view of practical constraints including a heavy industrial structure， rising emission reduction costs， regional carbon leakage and an imperfect green financing system， major economic provinces should take the lead in breaking through institutional barriers restricting the coordinated digital and green transition， establish a cross-regional carbon emission responsibility sharing mechanism， convert their inherent strengths into sustainable drivers for the comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development， and lay a solid foundation for achieving the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.

Key words

the “15th Five-Year Plan” period / major economic provinces taking the lead / comprehensive green transformation / carbon peaking and carbon neutrality / coordinated digital and green transition

Cite this article

Download Citations

CHEN Xing-xing, LI Tian-yi. How can Economically Significant Provinces Play a Pivotal Role in the Comprehensive Green Transformation During the 15th Five-Year Plan Period？[J]. Journal of Beijing Jiaotong University（Social Sciences Edition）. 2026, 25(2): 27-36

References

1 信长星.扛好经济大省挑大梁责任［J］.求是，2025，（12）：40-45.
2 李拯，彭飞，崔妍.大有大的担当，经济大省如何挑大梁［N］.人民日报，2025-08-26（5）.
3 聂洪光，叶文新，莫建雷.“十五五”时期我国能源转型发展战略研究［J］.河南社会科学，2025，33（11）：1-9.
4 陈星星.中国碳排放权交易市场：成效、现实与策略［J］.东南学术，2022，（4）：167-177.
5 谢玮，张燕，石青川，等.经济大省挑大梁［J］.中国经济周刊，2025，（3）：10-21.
6 肖金成.经济大省的时代担当［J］.国家治理，2025，（8）：9-11.
7 邓宗兵，何若帆，陈钲，等.中国八大综合经济区生态文明发展的区域差异及收敛性研究［J］.数量经济技术经济研究，2020，37（6）：3-25.
8 宋弘，孙雅洁，陈登科.政府空气污染治理效应评估——来自中国“低碳城市”建设的经验研究［J］.管理世界，2019，35（6）：95-108+195.
9 涂建明，李晓玉，郭章翠.低碳经济背景下嵌入全面预算体系的企业碳预算构想［J］.中国工业经济，2014，（3）：147-160.
10 KONG Y C， ZHAO T， YUAN R， et al. Allocation of carbon emission quotas in Chinese provinces based on equality and efficiency principles［J］. Journal of cleaner production，2019， 211： 222-232.
11 张延平，郭波武，李世杰，等.链主企业如何牵引产业绿色低碳发展？——基于海尔“可持续灯塔工厂”建设的案例研究［J］.管理世界，2025，41（6）：199-227.
12 陈贻健.论碳泄露的法律规制及其协调［J］.学海，2016，（6）：142-148.
13 YANG X，CHEN H，LI B，et al. The Relationship between Artificial Intelligence，Geopolitical Risk，and Green Growth：Exploring the Moderating Role of Green Finance and Energy Technology［J］. Technological Forecasting and Social Change，2025：124-135.
14 谭宇轩，曹银忠.“经济大省要挑大梁”：时代需求、要点聚焦与实现路径［J/OL］.当代经济管理，1-15［2025-11-19］.https：//linkhtbprolcnkihtbprolnet-s.libdb.ucass.edu.cn/urlid/13.1356.F.20251111.0926.002.
15 广东省发展和改革委员会.秦黎明：广东累计创建国家级绿色工厂400家，绿色制造示范名单总数居全国首位［EB/OL］.（2024-08-16）［2026-05-14］.https：//www.hengqin.gov.cn/macao_zh_hans/hzqgl/dtyw/dtxx/content/post_3700501.html.
16 绿色和平国内低碳发展政策研究项目组.中国30省（市）碳排放情况追踪，“第一梯队”谁来领跑？［EB/OL］.（2022-01）［2026-05-14］. https：//www.studocu.com/en-us/document/aurora-university/principles-of-economics/subnational-carbon-emission-briefing/66097534.
17 新华社.十省份贡献超六成GDP：经济大省这样挑起大梁［EB/OL］.（2025-02-13）［2026-05-14］. https：//www.gov.cn/lianbo/difang/202502/content_7003605.htm.
18 韦伯咨询.2024年1-6月全国32个省区市光伏发电新增装机容量及排名［EB/OL］.（2024-08-02）［2026-05-14］.https：//m.sohu.com/a/797854472_100180709/.
19 吴勤堂.产业集群与区域经济发展耦合机理分析［J］.管理世界，2004，（2）：133-134+136.
20 刘军，李廉水，王忠.产业聚集对区域创新能力的影响及其行业差异［J］.科研管理，2010，31（6）：191-198.
21 中国电子报.未来五年，工业大省如何挑大梁？［EB/OL］.（2025-12-21）［2026-05-14］.https：//61.178.146.163/sgxj/fdzdgknr/ghjh/art/2026/art_70a94a3ddeed43aca462038b48aee861.html.
22 江苏省工业和信息化厅.《江苏省工业领域碳达峰及重点行业碳达峰实施方案》解读［EB/OL］.（2023-01-17）［2026-05-14］.http：//gxt.jiangsu.gov.cn/art/2023/1/17/art_6197_10729251.html.
23 界面新闻.最新低碳研究报告发布，长三角碳排放降幅最大［EB/OL］.（2022-01-25）［2026-05-14］.https：//m.jiemian.com/article/7047473.html.
24 碳交易网.国内碳排放重点省份［EB/OL］.（2023-05-24）［2026-05-14］.http：//tanjiaoyi.com/article-48583-1.html.
25 湖北碳排放权交易中心.交易规模全国第一！湖北碳市场履约率连续10年保持100%［EB/OL］.（2025-02-24）［2026-05-14］.https：//www.hbets.cn/view_2345.html.
26 湖北省生态环境厅.依托中碳登平台湖北初步形成碳市场全产业链［EB/OL］.（2024-02-02）［2026-05-14］.http：//sthjt.hubei.gov.cn/dtyw/stdt/202402/t20240202_5073612.shtml.
27 山东省统计局.解读：我省工业生产保持平稳增长［EB/OL］.（2024-09-25）［2026-05-14］.http：//tjj.shandong.gov.cn/art/2024/9/25/art_104037_10314426.html.
28 王伟.碳达峰“十大工程”发布一年，山东省属企业多途径节能降碳，“十四五”末再添3条零碳高速［EB/OL］.（2024-01-04）［2026-05-14］.http：//tanpaifang.com/tanzhonghe/2024/0104/103615_2.html.
29 付玉婷.成绩单来了！2024年山东国家级绿色制造单位数量稳居全国第一梯队［EB/OL］.（2025-01-27）［2026-05-14］.https：//dzrb.dzng.com/general/0/NEWS2110261BGFMBAWXCTVRB.
30 顾阳，徐达，崔国强.江苏领跑能源领域低碳转型［EB/OL］.（2024-06-12）［2026-05-14］.http：//paper.ce.cn/pc/content/202406/12/content_295958.html.
31 张雅欣，木其坚，李浩铭.碳排放双控制度体系下地方碳排放预算管理的内在逻辑和实现方式［J］.中国环境管理，2025，17（4）：58-67.
32 上海证券报.广碳所：累计成交碳排放权2.98亿吨［EB/OL］.（2023-09-20）［2026-05-14］.https：//www.sohu.com/a/722027731_120988576.
33 新华日报.2018年以来江苏以年均2.4%能耗增速支撑年均5.5%经济增速［EB/OL］.（2023-07-12）［2026-05-14］. https：//zgjssw.gov.cn/yaowen/202307/t20230712_8006535.shtml.
34 现代快报.江苏机动车保有量达2765.8万辆，其中新能源车269.1万辆［EB/OL］.（2025-01-21）［2026-05-14］.https：//news.qq.com/rain/a/20250121A0934U00.
35 陈星星，田贻萱.数字化绿色化协同转型的理论阐释与未来路径［J］.工业技术经济，2025，44（11）：96-104.
36 Foss N J，Saebi T. Fifteen Years of Research on Business Model Innovation： How Far Have We Come， and Where Should We Go？［J］.Journal of Management，2017，43（1）：200-227.
37 CHIARINI A.Industry 4.0 Technologies in the Manufacturing Sector： Are We Sure They Are All Relevant for Environmental Performance？［J］.Business Strategy and the Environment，2021，30（7）：3194-3207.
38 杨浩昌，李廉水，刘军.高技术产业聚集对技术创新的影响及区域比较［J］.科学学研究，2016，34（2）：212-219.
39 F?RE R， GROSSKOPF S， NOH D W， et al. Characteristics of a Polluting Technology：Theory and Practice［J］.Journal of Econometrics，2005，126（2）：469-492.
40 ALLEN M R， FRAME D J， HUNTINGFORD C， et al. Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne［J］.Nature，2009，458（7242）：1163-1166.
41 JIANG H D， PUROHIT P， LIANG Q M， et al. Improving the regional deployment of carbon mitigation efforts by incorporating air-quality co-benefits： A multi-provincial analysis of China［J］， Ecological Economics. 2023， 204： 107675.
42 GOLOMBEK R， HOEL M. Unilateral emission reductions and crosscountry technology spillovers［J］.Advances in Economic Analysis & Policy，2004，4（2）：1318.
43 GROSSMAN G M， KRUEGER A B.Environmental impacts of a North American free trade agreement［R］.Cambridge：National Bureau of Economic Research，1991.

PDF(979 KB)

Accesses

Citation

Detail

Sections

Recommended

/

〈

〉