Game Analysis of Traffic Department Supervision and Evolution of Traffic Participants’ Illegal Occupation of Emergency Lane
MU Ling-ling1, TU Jia-ting2, FU Yi-fan3
1.School of Economics and Management, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300401, China 2.College of Public Administration, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan Hubei 430074, China 3.College of Management and Economy, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China
Abstract:Aiming at illegal occupation of emergency lane by social vehicles on roadsides of city loop, expressway and highway, the evolutionary game model between traffic participants and traffic department is constructed by considering the supervision and reporting by third-party public and the use of electronic monitoring. By establishing the replication dynamic equation, the stable evolution strategies of traffic department and traffic participants are obtained through evolution stability strategy analysis and simulation analysis. The research shows that the decision-making of both traffic department and traffic participants tends to observe the principle of maximization of revenue or the principle of lowest cost. The higher the third-party reporting rate and electronic monitoring capture rate, the smaller the income loss ratio, and the more likely the traffic department is to adopt passive supervision. The greater the punishment and the higher the cost of cooperation with investigation, the higher the success rate of active supervision by the traffic department. Under the premise of ensuring a high success rate of regulation, the traffic department tends to choose passive supervision strategy. Therefore, it is suggested that traffic department can adopt new technology to reduce cost and increase efficiency, call on the public to actively report illegal occupations and strengthen supervision and punishment to prompt two sides to take game strategy that develop in the direction conductive to the supervision of traffic department.
牟玲玲, 涂家婷, 付一帆. 交通部门监管与交通参与人违法占用应急车道行为演化博弈分析[J]. 北京交通大学学报(社会科学版), 2022, 21(4): 76-86.
MU Ling-ling, TU Jia-ting, FU Yi-fan. Game Analysis of Traffic Department Supervision and Evolution of Traffic Participants’ Illegal Occupation of Emergency Lane. journal6, 2022, 21(4): 76-86.
1 杨露萍,钱大琳.小汽车通勤向公共交通转移演化博弈分析[J].北京交通大学学报,2014,38(2):151-156. 2 MAYNARD SMITH J.The theory of games and the evolution of animal conflicts[J].Journal of Theoretical Biology,1974,47(1):209-221. 3 郭静秋,方守恩,曲小波,等.基于强化协作博弈方法的双车道混合交通流特性[J].同济大学学报(自然科学版),2019,47(7):976-983. 4 李祯琪,欧国立.激励性和惩罚性交通拥堵治理政策的比较——基于动态演化博弈模型及仿真分析[J].中国管理科学,2019,27(6):167-178. 5 UCHIYAMA N, TANIGUCHI E.A Study of Dispatcher’s Route Choice Model Based on Evolutionary Game Theory[J]. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences,2012, 39(39): 495-509. 6 徐莹,张雪梅,曹柬.雾霾背景下政府监管与交通企业低碳行为演化博弈[J].系统管理学报,2018,27(3):462-469+477. 7 魏丽英,崔裕枫,李东莹.基于演化博弈论的行人与机动车冲突演化机理研究[J].物理学报,2018,67(19):37-49. 8 卢维科,刘澜,冯伟.基于相邻相位合作博弈的单信号交叉口实时滚动优化建模和仿真[J].公路交通科技,2015,32(11):120-125+131. 9 NARANG A , SHAIJU A J . Evolutionary Stability of Polymorphic Profiles in Asymmetric Games[J]. Dynamic Games and Applications, 2019, 9(4): 1126-1142. 10 CHENG J S, GONG B G, LI B Y. Cooperation strategy of technology licensing based on evolutionary game[J]. Annals of Operations Research, 2018, 268(1-2): 387-404. 11 王璐,叶顺强,谢能刚.基于脏脸博弈模型的人车路口穿越行为研究[J].物理学报,2015,64(12):76-86. 12 张晓雨,王颖杰,鲍梦婷,等.车道被占用对城市道路通行能力的影响[J].汕头大学学报(自然科学版),2014,29(3):5-17. 13 PINASCO J P, CARTABIA M R, SAINTIER N. A Game Theoretic Model of Wealth Distribution[J]. Dynamic Games and Applications, 2018,8(4): 874-890. 14 GHATAK A, MUKHERJEE D, RAO K. A Spatial Game Theoretic Analysis of Conflict and Identity[J]. Computational Economics, 2018, 52(2): 493-519. 15 王健,胡晓伟,佟晶晶,等.基于车道建模的区域应急疏散路径规划[J].交通运输工程学报,2010,10(2):82-87. 16 王方,王晓原,刘振雪,等.基于完全信息多人动态博弈的车道选择模型[J].计算机工程与应用,2018,54(23):238-245. 17 赵韩涛,毛宏燕.有应急车辆影响的多车道交通流元胞自动机模型[J].物理学报,2013,62(6):53-60. 18 王健,程苑,张哲宁.基于演化博弈论的汽车共享与私家车博弈研究[J].交通信息与安全,2017,35(2):89-93. 19 林小梅,邵春福,钱剑培,等.通行政策导向下节假日出行结构动态演化博弈[J].北京交通大学学报,2016,40(6):70-75+82. 20 张亚平,宋成举,程绍武,等.城市公共交通监管博弈建模与仿真[J].哈尔滨工业大学学报,2016,48(9):24-29. 21 王秋平,华震,孙皓.历史街区慢行交通分担量的博弈预测方法[J].中国公路学报,2016,29(9):128-135. 22 李学文,徐丽群.城市轨道交通运营效率评价——基于改进的博弈交叉效率方法[J].系统工程理论与实践,2016,36(4):973-980.